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County Championship Poll Results
By: Kevin Milsted
webmaster@mocorunning.com
2017-10-16


75 fans voted in Mocorunning's Pre-County Championship Poll from October 8 to October 15. Below are the composite results of that poll.

Fan Favorite Top Ten Girls
==============================================
Name, School			   Poll Points
==============================================
1. Abigail Green, Walter Johnson	399
2. Nandini Satsangi, Poolesville	306
3. Yasmine Kass, Paint Branch		252
4. Morgan Casey, Blair			193
5. Jessica Trzeciak, Wootton		185
6. Heather Delaplaine, Damascus		159
7. Janet Scott, Walter Johnson		152
8. Jenna Goldberg, Walter Johnson	130
9. Nefrit El-Masry, Richard Montgomery	90
10. Adna Trakic, Wootton		76
     
Fan Favorite Top Ten Boys
==============================================
Name, School			   Poll Points
==============================================
1. Ryan Lockett, Poolesville		520
2. Mark Unger, Richard Montgomery	502
3. Adam Nakasaka, B-CC			487
4. Garrett Suhr, Richard Montgomery	347
5. Obsaa Feda, Northwood		242
6. Aaron Bratt, Whitman			239
7. John Riker, Wootton			221
8. Simeon Mussie, Einstein		135
9. Chris Thoms, Quince Orchard		129
10. Noah Clifford, Einstein		104
Fan Favorite Top Ten Girls Teams
==============================================
    School	    	    Poll Points
==============================================
1.  Walter Johnson		347
2.  Thomas S. Wootton		312
3.  Walt Whitman		244
4.  Bethesda Chevy Chase	191
5.  Montgomery Blair		166
6.  Richard Montgomery		130
7.  Quince Orchard		120
8.  Clarksburg			107
9.  Northwest			77
10. Damascus			69
     
Fan Favorite Top Ten Boys Teams
==============================================
    School	    	    Poll Points
==============================================
1.  Richard Montgomery		448
2.  Bethesda Chevy Chase	388
3.  Walt Whitman		337
4.  Albert Einstein		241
5.  Thomas S. Wootton		238
6.  Northwest			228
7.  Winston Churchill		180
8.  Northwood			136
9.  Clarksburg			99
10. Paint Branch		83

Just for fun: (Avg Response)
Winning Boys Time: 		15:35.54
Winning Girls Time: 		17:49.20
Winning Boys Team Score: 	70.9
Winning Girls Team Score: 	53.9
Analysis

Abigail Green and Ryan Lockett are favored by fans to win at this Saturday's Montgomery County Championship Meet. Green garnered 84% of first place votes while Lockett earned 43% of first place votes. Fan support is gaining momentum behind Richard Montgomery's Mark Unger. In recent weeks, Unger beat B-CC's Adam Nakasaka with an eye-popping 5k time of 15:34 at the Great American XC Fest, leaving some fans believing that RM's first year cross country runner is Lockett's greatest threat at the county championship.

Walter Johnson High School can four-peat with another girls team title on Saturday. A win by the Richard Montgomery High School boys would be the first county title in school history for the Rockets.

Check out Mocorunning's XC County Championship Record Book (PDF Download) for more history and stats on the county meet.





Article Comments - Add A Comment

NameComment


2017-10-16 14:15:16

This is all wrong

Einstein is
2017-10-16 18:02:50


Overrated
2017-10-16 18:03:08


Deena
2017-10-16 18:17:08

Adam will be second on a bad day, he's been there before and should be primed for a top 2 finish

Vicho
2017-10-16 18:22:42

Ian Silver is sub 15 confirmed watch out

A concerned person
2017-10-16 18:39:41

Einstein boys are too high and Blair boys are unerrated

W
2017-10-16 19:25:57

Top eight boys will be under 16 minutes

ugly god
2017-10-16 22:07:38

Einstein out here reppin

Really guys
2017-10-17 07:34:05

Northwood and Einstein are overrated and don’t tell me Blair is underrated.

in the middle
2017-10-17 07:47:04

Blair beat Whitman. Einstein beat Blair. Northwood beat Einstein

fact
2017-10-17 10:56:15

northwood beating einstein was a #fluke


2017-10-17 11:56:33

^^^^^^^^^^^^

8e0a74huvsa
2017-10-17 12:35:29

Northwood beating Einstein was not a fluke or even a case of home course advantage. Einstein was missing a guy. If he is back AND at full speed Einstein will most likely beat Northwood. If he is not back or not at full speed, Einstein will NOT beat Northwood, Eldon is going to clean up on the county course. Blair was also missing a guy. He will be back and running full speed for sure. That won't be enough to get them into contention but certainly they will end up 8 or 9 or 10. I have watched Mark U run dozens of races over the years. This fall he looks primed for the county win. I think RL is only worried about late November. AN is is somewhere between those strategies, I don't know which one he will chose.

Deena
2017-10-17 12:38:15

I don't think Einstein has a chance to seriously contend. They have 3 strong runners but no one else varsity caliber. There 4 and 5 will be lucky to break 18 at counties (barely did at scorpion crawl) and that means they will be scoring a huge amount of points. Even with 3 in top 10 they would be scoring well over 150 and that just leaves them way out of contention. Bcc has the veterans to maybe pull something off. Whitman has good young kids but are trending downward after poor showing at manhattan. Northwood looks good with eldon Phillips coming on strong. X factor for them is eldad mulugeta there #2 man who seemingly dissapeared. Fantaw and sila should be top 20, obssa top 5 strong bunch there. Wouldn't count on riker and wootton, they aren't battle tested. Also don't think Blair is relevant whatsoever in this race. RM should be favorite but there 5 has to come along if thy want to win. 3 in top 10 very possible and olano is a solid 4 should be around 1700-1710

savomkwe8u
2017-10-17 12:38:36

RM's Charlotte Turesson will be top 10.

Bofa
2017-10-17 12:47:37

Tom Martin chasing his 10th girls county title, has 4 boys titles as well, would be 9 overall in last 10 years.

zxc874oij
2017-10-17 13:00:49

I don't think Einstein has a chance to seriously contend. Agreed. Bcc has the veterans to maybe pull something off. But a win is unlikely unless RM holds guys like last year. Whitman has good young kids but are trending downward after poor showing at manhattan. Travel to Manhattan is a much different race than counties, not that Whitman is going to win either. Northwood looks good with eldon Phillips coming on strong. X factor for them is eldad mulugeta there #2 man who seemingly dissapeared. I think they are going to hold him out until regionals and thus not be truly competitive with the top two or three teams. Wouldn't count on riker and wootton, they aren't battle tested. Certainly you don't mean John R. but with the gap to the rest I don't know how they were picked 5th. Also don't think Blair is relevant whatsoever in this race. OK but you don't have to be relevant to finish 9th. They are better than last year. RM should be favorite but there 5 has to come along if thy want to win. 3 in top 10 very possible and olano is a solid 4 should be around 1700-1710. Olano has a 16:40 in him, the question is should he save it for states? I wish I could say RM's #5 could throw a big one but he is training too hard an will be lucky to run 3 more 17:45s.

Consortia
2017-10-17 13:26:38

Northwood and Blair have been outside of the top 7 since the early 80s. I'm rooting for both.

Bofa
2017-10-17 13:41:17

Northwood was hurt by the fact that they were closed for 20 years. I don't think anyone expects Woodward to compete right away when it reopens

E. Stein
2017-10-17 14:13:27

I think there's a good possibility all top ten will go sub 16

df934oij
2017-10-17 14:32:45

Not that I'm sure where all these were held and granting that the weather does look good for this Saturday, but still, 10 or even 8 under 16 seems less than likely. 2016 2 under 16 10th time 16:27; 2015 5 under 16 10th time 16:13; 2014 3 under 16 10th time 16:29; 2013 2 under 16 10th time 16:30; 2012 2 under 16 10th time 16:21; 2011 0 under 16 10th time 16:24; 2010 6 under 16 10th time 16:19

Frank
2017-10-17 14:46:02

Einstein is arguably worse than magruder. Seneca valley is winning baby. All you are wrong af. Everyone is going to die of shin splints. Whitman is BAD!!!

COuldnt agree more
2017-10-17 14:46:40

to say this is a down year compared to 2011-2016 would be an understatement. There are some big guns in lockett, Adam and the RMS kids, but overall this field just doesnt stand a chance to the weaverling, bertrand, zarate woods periods

Frank
2017-10-17 14:48:57

Einstein is arguably worse than magruder. Seneca valley is winning baby. All you are wrong af. Everyone is going to die of shin splints. Whitman is BAD!!!

1-2-5-9-20
2017-10-17 15:11:46

Einstein top 2 was not looking that strong last saterday Eldon is tough and improving every week but will it be enough. Also Don’t forget Ayu fantaw running 17 low on a hilly course. It’s gonna come down to who wants it the most.

asdfoj34
2017-10-17 15:28:57

Fantaw is a solid lowish stick. The reason we keep mentioning Eldon is that the big changes in points come with #4 and #5. If Mulugeta runs then Neguse is #6 and Northwood is competitive with about anyone, well unless RM's #5 has a breakout race. My guess is that they will hide Mulugeta until regions but that may just be the strategist in me hoping for a big surprise. It is pretty cool to have Northwood to talk about this year rather than the same old teams.

Wildcats
2017-10-17 15:34:40

Woodward will beat Northwood first year open. Calling it now. #Relevant

Deena
2017-10-17 17:28:10

Is eldad healthy tho, he is exceptionally talented but has limited race experience especially on the grass. If he is healthy it would be wise to get him some exposure before the only 2 meets that truly matter. Either way any XC fan can appreciate the renaissance Gio has started at northwood,

Hi
2017-10-17 17:46:32

I think BCC should be the favorite. besides the 4-5 drop-off, RM has not been too consistent. BCC has 4 guys under 17 already along with a No.5 at 17:20. The competition at counties is tough, no doubt, but not like a state meet where that wouldn't match teams like Severna Park and Dulaney, so 17:20 is darn good. Whitman's 2-3-4-5 looked eh at Great American and the whole team didn't do too hot at Manhattan. Northwest is certainly coming in hungry and probably underrated by people in this comment section, but just doesn't have the times to compete. Einstein has not looked good of late so I'm pretty positive there out of the running

a runner
2017-10-17 17:51:51

Paint Branch could make some noise with a top 3 all near 17. This goes along with Clarksburg who have had tremendous success from Worthman and Kilosky. Dont forget about Sherwood either with 2 guys close to breaking 17. Northwood's win over Einstein was a bit fluky because Einstein didn't have a good race, but there worth watching out for especially if Eldad runs

mocoxc
2017-10-17 18:00:50

As the admin of the moco xc account, I have to give my two cents. This is a three horse race between BCC RM and Whitman. While RM are being looked at heavy favorites somehow, just 10 points separate these three teams. I'll distinguish these teams by their performances racing against each other. Oatlands: Whitman- good, although one of their junior guys had an off race BCC- meh RM-great DCXC: Whitman-great BCC-good RM-DNR Great American: Whitman- good RM- great+ BCC- great So it's really a toss up between these three teams. For Northwood, Mulugeta coming back probably won't do much and may not even move them out of their current athletic.net projection. Also Einstein doesn't look to compete either as their 4-5 aren't nearly as strong as that top 3.

just to make everyone aware
2017-10-17 18:45:46

JUST TO MAKE EVERYONE AWARE: Nicholas Olano is repeated on the athletic.net virtual meet as nicholas and nick, he has two profiles. also, eluded mulugeta's time trial 17:33 is obviously still included which inflates Northwood's place.

Bofa
2017-10-17 19:15:39

I hate so much emphasis on XC times cuz these courses aren't created equal. Times for northwood and other real courses won't be as good as DCXc , great American, etc. teams that run these cupcake course won't find too much trouble @ counties but come regions they are in for a world of hurt. Look at BCCs county vs regional performance in recent years going from gburg to clarksburg, their regular season breeds fast times not hill runners with the exception of josh fry. Olano and others are good runners but saying teams like Whitman have 4 sub17 is far fetched, their 2-4 haven't run close to 17 on anything but a pancake flat course. Also funny when you say a win is a fluke becuz a team didn't have a good race, good teams find ways to win, especially dual meets. Some teams do workouts day before dual meets and sit out some of their top 7 becuz it shouldn't take a good team an all out effort to win a dual meet.

hluvjl
2017-10-17 19:27:56

Counties is a pancake course. What these guys have run on pancake courses is likely to be run on counties

hluvjl
2017-10-17 19:31:52

Nakasaka came in 2nd at states last year, he's for sure a hill runner. But you right, you can't have all the emphasis on times when teams run courses like DCXC. But times can be used, with caution, for races like counties

Gio is the best coach in maryland
2017-10-17 19:37:09

Eldad mulugeta is injured, God knows if it's serious but Northwood beat Einstein without him and if he comes back there team would be so much more better and obsaa won't have to run by himself like he did in consortia.

Mocoxc
2017-10-17 19:40:53

Just saying, that logic has to go both ways. Look at where all rms times are from. Great American or a race on a horse track. I’m not saying they aren’t slightly favoured but be fair if you’re using that as a rationale

bofa
2017-10-17 20:25:33

completely agree, my logic does bite back at RM. They have only run oatlands. Interstate, track and trail and GA wont help them down the line. That being said we havent seen RM have much XC success. Even years where they were loaded with trackstars, Alexander, Jung, porquin, Agboola they couldnt get it done during xc so im not expecting a whole lot from RM after this saturday

Gio is the best coach in maryland
2017-10-17 21:53:08

Eldad mulugeta is injured, God knows if it's serious but Northwood beat Einstein without him and if he comes back there team would be so much more better and obsaa won't have to run by himself like he did in consortia.


2017-10-17 22:36:23

Bruh Eldad wouldn’t be running with Obsaa feda

87saduinds
2017-10-18 09:14:45

not expecting a whole lot from RM after this saturday I can see that line of reasoning but kind of like Blair having a good shot at 8th at counties and Northwood's breakout year, RM running 3rd at states would be a breakthrough for them. This year RM actually has some depth. It is not impressive depth yet but their sophomore class has real potential.

asdf98jeroi
2017-10-18 09:22:03

MocoXC: Not sure where the idea for a 10 point race comes from do you know something we don't? That doesn't mean anyone should count the next 3 out. 1. Richard Montgomery 128 2. Whitman 172 3. B-CC 177 4. Northwood 180

svjknerq
2017-10-18 10:23:21

Does anyone have any thoughts on the BCC, Blair, RM pile on the girls side? Are counties small enough for the BCC pack to prevail? Will RM's Zhou or Blair's Brane-Wright bounce back the best?


2017-10-18 10:25:52

Any thoughts on the 4A North boys pileup: Paint Branch, Sherwood, Northwood and Blair

svjknerq
2017-10-18 12:00:57

Does anyone have any thoughts on the BCC, Blair, RM pile on the girls side? Are counties small enough for the BCC pack to prevail? Will RM's Zhou or Blair's Brane-Wright bounce back the best?

er98joiqa
2017-10-18 12:26:18

I don't know anything about the North Regionals course. Looking at last years North race, if you just kind of add in Blair and Northwood since basically no one graduated, it seems like all 4 will move on to states. Athlete.net seems to support that.

Deena
2017-10-18 13:01:03

I just don't know how anyone will beat WJ girls. I think on a bad day they have 5 in the top 20. Scott and Goldberg have looked like stars and could join green in top 5, scobell is back from injury and coming on strong and poised for top15. Sadie keller gets better as the season goes and has been 15th and 16th the past two years so she should finish right around there again. I expect a score under the projected 50 points

qw4589jd
2017-10-18 13:54:47

The interesting thing about WJ is that they haven't really lost any of their core of runners over the 4-5 years. I thought Wooton was going to be better this fall. BCC at times, over the years, looked like they had a chance. Whitman shows flashes but doesn't keep building. Blair looked good last spring but WJ, just rolls on.

only pretty sure
2017-10-18 14:48:34

Fairly certain they've lost all their core runners from four years ago.


2017-10-18 14:53:09

But whose the best of the 4A North teams

Boi
2017-10-18 15:06:19

Tru last time I checked Northwood was a non powerhouse school

Power house school
2017-10-18 15:06:25

Dulaney will win 4a north regionals with northwood in second.

mocoxc
2017-10-18 17:38:15

To whoever said that they don’t know where the idea of a 10 point race comes, literally check athletic.net, it’s there. Also don’t know where you’re getting your numbers from

4A north
2017-10-18 17:47:23

Howard will come in 2ndit’s gonna be between paint branch and Sherwood and maybe northwood(I think u guys at overplaying them)

Power house school
2017-10-18 18:06:20

Northwood beat paint branch by 10 points and Sherwood isn’t competition for either


2017-10-18 18:11:47

Northwood doesn’t have good depth.


2017-10-18 18:23:08

Powerhouse go look on athletic net virtual meet northwood has 236 pits eldad mulugeta is included with a time trial. So you take mulugetas 63rd place and change it with 94 northwood supposed 6th runner. That gives them 267 exact same with paint branch and only 13 points better than Sherwood. In 4A north virtual meet same logic gives northwood 118 paint branch 120 sherwood 121 I get it northwood ran a tough course at consortia but anything can happen with 13 points

Deena
2017-10-18 18:41:29

Haven't payed close attention this year but if 4a north is still @ dulaney then it is an extremely flat fast course. Fastest 5k in md and probably 2nd easiest course behind only Frank Keyser

Yo
2017-10-18 19:16:10

4A north course moved to new site in Baltimore county. It has some rolling hills. It’s certainly tougher than the old course but still a prettty fast course

12345
2017-10-18 20:27:07

Power house stop sucking Northwood they all hype.

324978efnoqef
2017-10-19 07:51:35

OK, Athlete has it at 10 once you take out the extra Nick Olano, thanks for that. But we are on a site that has spent years perfecting a rating system designed to predict the County race. They have the county race: 1. Richard Montgomery 127 2. Whitman 172 3. B-CC 176 4. Northwood 179 5. Northwest 188 Do I believe Olano will be 3 sec behind Chase Osborne? No but I do think their process is valid. To whoever said that they don’t know where the idea of a 10 point race comes, literally check athletic.net, it’s there. Also don’t know where you’re getting your numbers from.


2017-10-19 08:38:19

Where on athletic.net does it say northwood is finishing 4th. Nowhere


2017-10-19 09:28:21

Where on athletic.net does it say northwood is finishing 4th. Nowhere

23498jiafsd
2017-10-19 12:14:24

Correct, Athlete doesn't say Northwood is 4th, MoCorunning's prediction from their rankings suggest Northwood will be 4th because the rankings take into account the difficulty of Northwood's home course and the fact the DCXC and the Scorpion Crawl are lightening fast.

wow
2017-11-20 20:46:52

Well this race turned out unexpectedly

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